Race 8: #4-Positivelycharming figures to be the big favorite here, so let's try to beat her right out of the exacta. #3-Irish Becky(6-1 m/l) has two good races over the track, needs to sit mid-pack and finish today. #6-Tenacious Gator(8-1) also has a good finish, was right with Irish Becky two back. #8-Mooji's Sister(5-1) likes to stalk the pace, Morales needs to get her to relax a bit in this one.
Wager: $5exabox- 3,6,8
Working well...
- **OUTSTANDING WORKOUTS IN CAPS**
- <>
- Banker's High Yield
- Big Truck
- Capt. Bullet Bob
- Chic Cat
- Closeout
- Conchacer
- CORREDOR DELA ISLA
- Creative Design
- Doctor Carina
- Double Or Nothing
- Eight Faces
- El Poppie
- FINE FLYER
- Flurtini
- Forestry Type
- Grasmere Park
- IRON ID
- Lady Elite
- Lady Zieg
- LEMONETTE
- MUSKET MAN
- NICKS
- Pari
- Perfect Arrival
- R Betty Graybull
- REALGOODLOOKIN
- ROYAL MALIBU
- Sassy Tale
- SATANS QUICK CHICK
- SCHOOLYARD DREAMS
- Sea Current
- SNEAKIN THE GOLD
- STATE TREASURE
- Tight Precision
- Tough Heart
- Triptane
- Wiseacre
Thursday, February 28, 2008
Recap for Tues. Feb. 26th-
Small profit for the day, with outside closers favored; the rail looks dead right now. Having said that, they had over an inch of rain Tuesday night, so it's wait and see time. Traditionally, a drying out track has always favored closers. Don't know if we're on the turf today, kinda doubt it.
Meet record: 35/155= 23% Bet: $1688.00 Won: $1548.20 Loss: -$139.80
Meet record: 35/155= 23% Bet: $1688.00 Won: $1548.20 Loss: -$139.80
Wednesday, February 27, 2008
Leading Trainers by wins through 2/26/2008
Leading Trainers at Tampa Bay Downs
Starting Date: 12/08/2007 Ending Date: 02/26/2008
Win/ITM %....Name....Starts....1st....2nd....3rd....Earnings
(40%/65%) Jamie Ness 101-40-11-15 $503,922
(30%/62%) Dale Bennett 77-23-16-9 $331,984
(25%/48%) Gregory A. Griffith 60-15-9-5 $169,908
(16%/30%) Gerald S. Bennett 86-14-6-6 $159,799
(21%/49%) Ronald D. Allen, Sr. 63-13-7-11 $148,806
(13%/39%) Barbara I. McBride 83-11-12-9 $120,084
(16%/35%) Lynne M. Scace 68-11-7-6 $155,120
(8%/25%) Carl J. Cooper 130-10-10-12 $119,456
(18%/46%) Jane Cibelli 57-10-10-6 $124,166
(17%/40%) Thomas F. Proctor 58-10-7-6 $126,272
(7%/25%) Charles Fontana 128-9-9-14 $107,929
(17%/48%) Javier Contreras 52-9-8-8 $109,608
(22%/53%) Michael V. Simone 36-8-8-3 $82,628
(30%/67%) Tony Wilson 27-8-7-3 $117,370
(24%/39%) Derek S. Ryan 33-8-2-3 $100,321
(9%/39%) Kathleen O'Connell 80-7-12-12 $138,645
(11%/33%) Samuel F. Cronk 61-7-9-4 $73,561
(13%/39%) Rafael Ramos 56-7-8-7 $135,963
(15%/43%) Joe McAlister 46-7-7-6 $67,381
(24%/52%) Kirk Ziadie 29-7-4-4 $83,504
Starting Date: 12/08/2007 Ending Date: 02/26/2008
Win/ITM %....Name....Starts....1st....2nd....3rd....Earnings
(40%/65%) Jamie Ness 101-40-11-15 $503,922
(30%/62%) Dale Bennett 77-23-16-9 $331,984
(25%/48%) Gregory A. Griffith 60-15-9-5 $169,908
(16%/30%) Gerald S. Bennett 86-14-6-6 $159,799
(21%/49%) Ronald D. Allen, Sr. 63-13-7-11 $148,806
(13%/39%) Barbara I. McBride 83-11-12-9 $120,084
(16%/35%) Lynne M. Scace 68-11-7-6 $155,120
(8%/25%) Carl J. Cooper 130-10-10-12 $119,456
(18%/46%) Jane Cibelli 57-10-10-6 $124,166
(17%/40%) Thomas F. Proctor 58-10-7-6 $126,272
(7%/25%) Charles Fontana 128-9-9-14 $107,929
(17%/48%) Javier Contreras 52-9-8-8 $109,608
(22%/53%) Michael V. Simone 36-8-8-3 $82,628
(30%/67%) Tony Wilson 27-8-7-3 $117,370
(24%/39%) Derek S. Ryan 33-8-2-3 $100,321
(9%/39%) Kathleen O'Connell 80-7-12-12 $138,645
(11%/33%) Samuel F. Cronk 61-7-9-4 $73,561
(13%/39%) Rafael Ramos 56-7-8-7 $135,963
(15%/43%) Joe McAlister 46-7-7-6 $67,381
(24%/52%) Kirk Ziadie 29-7-4-4 $83,504
Leading Jockeys by wins- through 2/26/2208
Leading Jockeys at Tampa Bay Downs
Starting Date: 12/08/2007 Ending Date: 02/26/2008
Win %.....Name.....Starts.....1st.....2nd.....3rd.....Earnings
(28%) Daniel Centeno 301-83-53-38 $1,113,612
(16%) Rosemary B. Homeister, Jr. 241-39-35-26 $526,114
(17%) Jose A. Velez, Jr. 227-39-31-28 $560,635
(19%) Pablo Morales 210-39-29-39 $461,106
(12%) Carlos Montalvo 298-35-46-38 $598,344
(11%) Luis Antonio Gonzalez 250-28-36-39 $393,874
(13%) Juan D. Lopez 153-20-20-12 $264,453
(10%) Andrew R. Ramgeet 185-19-21-25 $247,359
(11%) Tammi Piermarini 159-18-19-22 $258,217
(13%) Willie Martinez 141-18-15-9 $211,014
(10%) Dean P. Butler 157-15-20-23 $230,003
(14%) Irwin J. Rosendo 108-15-10-7 $203,087
Starting Date: 12/08/2007 Ending Date: 02/26/2008
Win %.....Name.....Starts.....1st.....2nd.....3rd.....Earnings
(28%) Daniel Centeno 301-83-53-38 $1,113,612
(16%) Rosemary B. Homeister, Jr. 241-39-35-26 $526,114
(17%) Jose A. Velez, Jr. 227-39-31-28 $560,635
(19%) Pablo Morales 210-39-29-39 $461,106
(12%) Carlos Montalvo 298-35-46-38 $598,344
(11%) Luis Antonio Gonzalez 250-28-36-39 $393,874
(13%) Juan D. Lopez 153-20-20-12 $264,453
(10%) Andrew R. Ramgeet 185-19-21-25 $247,359
(11%) Tammi Piermarini 159-18-19-22 $258,217
(13%) Willie Martinez 141-18-15-9 $211,014
(10%) Dean P. Butler 157-15-20-23 $230,003
(14%) Irwin J. Rosendo 108-15-10-7 $203,087
Tuesday, February 26, 2008
SELECTIONS- Tues., Feb. 26, 2008-
Race 4: #5-Sister Nan takes a big class drop and stretches out for Gerald Bennett; should be finishing strongest here.
Wager: $4exa- 5/1,3,7
Race 5: #1-Follow Orders has run four decent efforts in a row, now drops in class and gets a weak field of competitors; short-priced speedster can stalk in this event.
Wager: $10win- 1
Race 6: #10-Inca Is Calling catches a soft spot where she has already beaten most of these; Velez fits her.
Wager: $1tri- 10/2,4,6,8/2,4,6,8
Race 7: Could be the local allowance prep for the Tampa Bay Derby, and it appears to be a three horse battle between #1-Cigar Man, who was a close 4th in the OBS Championship; #2-Vocalize, a strong finisher for Tim Ritchey; and #9-Too Many Sins, a cleverly named son of Repent who just turned in a sensational work on the 17th for Dale Bennett.
Wager: $5win- 9
Race 9: #9-Dawn Raider tries n1x again, and looks to have the advantage here as primary foe #2-Romp will be coming from far off the pace.
Wager: $5win-9 & $4exabox- 2,9
Wager: $4exa- 5/1,3,7
Race 5: #1-Follow Orders has run four decent efforts in a row, now drops in class and gets a weak field of competitors; short-priced speedster can stalk in this event.
Wager: $10win- 1
Race 6: #10-Inca Is Calling catches a soft spot where she has already beaten most of these; Velez fits her.
Wager: $1tri- 10/2,4,6,8/2,4,6,8
Race 7: Could be the local allowance prep for the Tampa Bay Derby, and it appears to be a three horse battle between #1-Cigar Man, who was a close 4th in the OBS Championship; #2-Vocalize, a strong finisher for Tim Ritchey; and #9-Too Many Sins, a cleverly named son of Repent who just turned in a sensational work on the 17th for Dale Bennett.
Wager: $5win- 9
Race 9: #9-Dawn Raider tries n1x again, and looks to have the advantage here as primary foe #2-Romp will be coming from far off the pace.
Wager: $5win-9 & $4exabox- 2,9
Recap for Sun. Feb. 24th-
Winner, winner, chicken dinner. Finally, a race that played out the way it looked on paper...unfortunately, Archer's Fleet went off at 7-2, not the 8-1 he was with 10 minutes to post when I bet him. He ran very well, storming past them all down the center of the track. Onwards.
Meet record: 33/149= 22% Bet: $1636.00 Won: $1472.40 Loss: -$163.60
Meet record: 33/149= 22% Bet: $1636.00 Won: $1472.40 Loss: -$163.60
Sunday, February 24, 2008
SELECTIONS- Sun., Feb. 24, 2008
Race 5: #9-Archer's Fleet is a closer going 7 panels, in a race with predominantly speedy types. Wonderboy Pablo Morales takes the reins, and the GP race last time was a str alw against better.
Wager: $10win/place- 9
Wager: $10win/place- 9
Recap for Sat. Feb. 23rd-
Main track was sloppy and speed was no good; In the featured Tampa Bay Stakes, on soft going, Cosmonaut was deftly handled by Edgar Prado and pulled away again when confronted by Ballonenostrikes in upper stretch; fine effort by the runner-up, and Denny Manning is having a good year so far.
Meet record: 32/148= 22% Bet: $1616.00 Won: $1402.40 Loss: -$213.60
Meet record: 32/148= 22% Bet: $1616.00 Won: $1402.40 Loss: -$213.60
Saturday, February 23, 2008
SELECTIONS for Sat., Feb. 23, 2008
Race 1: Larry Bates has a poor record with FTS, but #1-Heez For Doc worked 4F in 47.2 (1/63) at CRC on 2/2; don't like a firster on the rail, especially going out of the 7F chute, but the work is too good to ignore. Will spread with others in exactas.
Wager: $1exabox- 1,2,6,9
Race 3: Will just box the speed here and hope someone gets overlooked in the wagering; #12-Val's Gold will look to turn the tables on #3-Witty Lexicon.
Wager: $1exabox- 3,9,11,12
Race 5: #4-Flapper has good early speed, can sit and finish if necessary and likes it wet. Centeno aboard will depress the price so triples are in order.
Wager: $1tri- 4/3,6,8,10/3,6,8,10
Race 7: #1-Ponche Line goes for third straight, stretches out to six and-a-half; likes it wet, needs to watch #9-Anjiz Crypto, who figures to be sent right to the front.
Wager: $2exa- 1,9/1,3,5,8,9
Wager: $1exabox- 1,2,6,9
Race 3: Will just box the speed here and hope someone gets overlooked in the wagering; #12-Val's Gold will look to turn the tables on #3-Witty Lexicon.
Wager: $1exabox- 3,9,11,12
Race 5: #4-Flapper has good early speed, can sit and finish if necessary and likes it wet. Centeno aboard will depress the price so triples are in order.
Wager: $1tri- 4/3,6,8,10/3,6,8,10
Race 7: #1-Ponche Line goes for third straight, stretches out to six and-a-half; likes it wet, needs to watch #9-Anjiz Crypto, who figures to be sent right to the front.
Wager: $2exa- 1,9/1,3,5,8,9
Recap for Fri. Feb. 22nd-
Both Palace Boxer(13-1) and Poundcake got second place money, allowing for a small profit for the day. Saturday offers a terrific renewal of the $150,000 Tampa Bay BC Stakes, with the likes of Icy Atlantic, Soldier's Dancer, Cosmonaut, Classic Campaign and Yate's Black Cat among a field of twelve entrants. Unfortunately, the radar is showing a solid line of thunderstorms sagging southward just north of the Tampa area, and it figures to pass thru by 11AM. Hope they at least keep the stake on the turf, if possible. Handicap for a sloppy main track.
Meet record: 32/144= 22% Bet: $1574.00 Won: $1402.40 Loss: -$171.60
Meet record: 32/144= 22% Bet: $1574.00 Won: $1402.40 Loss: -$171.60
Friday, February 22, 2008
SELECTIONS- Fri., Feb. 22, 2008
Race 5: #8-Green Turtle Cay has been knocking on the door the last two times, should get through today with proper use of his tactical speed. Montalvo rides back for Granitz.
Wager: $1tri- 8/4,5,6,9/4,5,6,9
Race 7: #9-Palace Boxer makes his 2nd career start for Roy Lerman; huge positive ROIs for his second-timers. Would love to see the 15-1 m/l odds.
Wager: $5win/place- 9
Race 8: #6-Poundcake gets big jock switch to Centeno, but there go the odds. Gregory Griffith trainee has a 8: 3-2-1 local record.
Wager: $5win/place- 6
Wager: $1tri- 8/4,5,6,9/4,5,6,9
Race 7: #9-Palace Boxer makes his 2nd career start for Roy Lerman; huge positive ROIs for his second-timers. Would love to see the 15-1 m/l odds.
Wager: $5win/place- 9
Race 8: #6-Poundcake gets big jock switch to Centeno, but there go the odds. Gregory Griffith trainee has a 8: 3-2-1 local record.
Wager: $5win/place- 6
Recap for Wed. Feb. 20th-
'Joan Scott' Day was a bust; have to wait for her to put up a top jock before pulling the trigger. Somebody throw me a line, I'm goin' down fast.
Meet record: 31/141= 22% Bet: $1542.00 Won: $1365.40 Loss: -$176.60
Meet record: 31/141= 22% Bet: $1542.00 Won: $1365.40 Loss: -$176.60
Wednesday, February 20, 2008
SELECTIONS- Wed., Feb. 20, 2008
Race 6: Joan Scott sends out #7-Margery Dawn for her 2nd career start; daughter of With Approval stayed in last time in an off-the-turfer, now gets blinkers-on and the proper surface. Was looking for a jockey switch as the go signal, but Willie Martinez will have to do. There isn't much talent entered here, so the price (12-1 m/l) compensates for the dreadful non-effort on dirt. Spread wide underneath.
Wager: $5win- 7 & $1tri- 7/3,5,6,8,10/3,5,6,8,10
Race 8: Joan Scott, part deux, #1-Wee Gift won at first asking in an off-the-turfer, should improve on the lawn here; good work for this.
Wager: $5win-1 & $1tri- 1/ 2,3,4,6/2,3,4,6
Race 9: Very surprised to see Jane Cibelli enter #1-Touchdown Peyton in this spot, but I guess the owners just want to get a check. I've followed this guy since he won the 2-miler at Saratoga; he has no early speed so he's always at the mercy of the pace. Appears to be enough speed for at least a reasonable pace here, so I'll give him a go.
Race 10: MSW on the grass comes up tough, with Joan Scott part III as well. As much as I like her I can't use her on top in this tough spot; I'm betting doubles here, so I'll use #4-Glimmering Hope, but it appears #7-Conchita is best; was 7 lengths clear of the show horse last time.
Wager: $2double- 1/2,3,4,7,8 & $1tri- 7/2,4,8,10/2,4,8,10
Wager: $5win- 7 & $1tri- 7/3,5,6,8,10/3,5,6,8,10
Race 8: Joan Scott, part deux, #1-Wee Gift won at first asking in an off-the-turfer, should improve on the lawn here; good work for this.
Wager: $5win-1 & $1tri- 1/ 2,3,4,6/2,3,4,6
Race 9: Very surprised to see Jane Cibelli enter #1-Touchdown Peyton in this spot, but I guess the owners just want to get a check. I've followed this guy since he won the 2-miler at Saratoga; he has no early speed so he's always at the mercy of the pace. Appears to be enough speed for at least a reasonable pace here, so I'll give him a go.
Race 10: MSW on the grass comes up tough, with Joan Scott part III as well. As much as I like her I can't use her on top in this tough spot; I'm betting doubles here, so I'll use #4-Glimmering Hope, but it appears #7-Conchita is best; was 7 lengths clear of the show horse last time.
Wager: $2double- 1/2,3,4,7,8 & $1tri- 7/2,4,8,10/2,4,8,10
Recap for Tues. Feb. 19th-
Had all three winners and the double, but couldn't get the right horses underneath for the exacta and triple...tantalizingly close to a big day. Maybe the tide is turning. Rare Wednesday card on tap with three turf races.
Meet record: 31/135= 23% Bet: $1478.00 Won: $1365.40 Loss: -$112.60
Meet record: 31/135= 23% Bet: $1478.00 Won: $1365.40 Loss: -$112.60
Tuesday, February 19, 2008
SELECTIONS- Tues., Feb. 19, 2008
Race 5: #3-Forbidden Colony finishes well, looks to be sitting on a good race for Jane Cibelli.
Wager: $4exa- 3/6,7,10
Race 6: Second leg of the Tampa Turf Test for f/m. Couple Whiles whistled here two back, should run them down late.
Wager: $1tri- 8/2,4,5,6/2,4,5,6 & $4double- 2,8/1,2
Race 7: In a 6F sprint just chock full of early speed, #2-First Of May can sit off the pace and take over through the stretch. Might do better than 2-1 m/l odds here. #1-Storm Ballad is the wild-card here; $175k son of Concerto was with Baffert at SA last spring and showed good works and high speed in his lone start before going to the sidelines; bullet over the track here before two farm works at Kinsman; interesting.
$5win- 2
Race 9: betting this only if #11-Glimmering Hope gets in from the AEs for Joan Scott; working well, but would prefer a better turf jock than Martinez.
$5win- 11
Wager: $4exa- 3/6,7,10
Race 6: Second leg of the Tampa Turf Test for f/m. Couple Whiles whistled here two back, should run them down late.
Wager: $1tri- 8/2,4,5,6/2,4,5,6 & $4double- 2,8/1,2
Race 7: In a 6F sprint just chock full of early speed, #2-First Of May can sit off the pace and take over through the stretch. Might do better than 2-1 m/l odds here. #1-Storm Ballad is the wild-card here; $175k son of Concerto was with Baffert at SA last spring and showed good works and high speed in his lone start before going to the sidelines; bullet over the track here before two farm works at Kinsman; interesting.
$5win- 2
Race 9: betting this only if #11-Glimmering Hope gets in from the AEs for Joan Scott; working well, but would prefer a better turf jock than Martinez.
$5win- 11
Recap for Sat. Feb. 16th-
Caught the overlaid early double, and the exacta in the sixth. John's Song was settling on an easy lead early in the 7th, but the four clipped his heels and he took off running, and the 23.50 quarter toasted him. The out-of-towners took the money and ran in the stakes races. Great race in the Endeavour Stakes with Dreaming Of Anna just lasting over Lear's Princess and a hard charging Meribel. Fierce Wind has really come to hand since he has gone two-turns, and having gone 9F at GP last time definitely helped him in the Sam Davis. An outstanding day of racing, with a profit...that's what it's all about.
Meet record: 29/131= 22% Bet: $1433.00 Won: $1315.30 Loss: -$117.70
Meet record: 29/131= 22% Bet: $1433.00 Won: $1315.30 Loss: -$117.70
Saturday, February 16, 2008
SELECTIONS for Sat., Feb. 16, 2008
Race 1: #12-Gift Box is the fastest of these early, and will have to be sent in order to cross over from the extreme outside. With all the other speedy types in here, that may or may not happen, and it might take too much out of her. Plan B is #6-Max's Song, who can sit off the speed and finish.
Race 2: Of those who have racing experience, #5-Onashoestring showed some promise as a 2yo, but hasn't been seen since July; #9-Miss Keokuk ships in from Kentucky, attracts Centeno; #11-Red Pine comes out of a strong MSW race first-time out, is working well for Zwiesler/Farish. Of the FTS, #2-Amazing shows a good string of works at CRC, gets RoHo to ride. #7-Eventful Halo debuts for Lynne Scace/Arthur Appleton with some slow works showing, this could be the one, however, as Scace does this very well.
Wager: $2DD- 6,12/2,7,9,11 & $5win- 7
Race 3: There appears to be enough early pace signed up here to look for an off the pace winner. #2-Stash The Boots goes first off the claim and drops back from a mile to 6 1/2; moves up in class but veteran runner can sit off the speed and finish strong. #4-Psychic Star turns back in distance as well but never seems to get up in time; #5-Pawnsay goes second out for Ness and gets Centeno this time after a strong late rally last time.
Wager: $2exa- 2,5/1,2,4,5
Race 4: If #8-Doryphar is ready off the 4-month break, she's probably the best under Gomez; I'll play #5-Jeux De Danse, who is ultra-consistent and should be close to the front in what appears to be a paceless race.
Wager: $1tri- 5/1,3,4,8/1,3,4,8
Race 5: How good is #5-Mydesireisthewire, who won first out at CRC by 19 lengths? If #6-One Step Ahead can sit off the speed here she'll finish well.
Wager: $2exa- 6/2,5,8,10,13[AE]
Race 6: #6-Miss Goodnight is just better than these, if she takes to the racetrack that she's been working well over in the mornings.
Wager: $5exa- 6/2,5,10
Race 7: Dear Jose Ferrer, if you send #5-John's Song right to the lead and slow down the pace, you can steal this race. Regards, your pal Tom.
Wager: $1tri- 5/7,10/ALL
Race 8: "...horses don't always reproduce their seemingly superior form the first time over the Tampa main track." Just reminding myself.
Wager: $1exa- 7,9/ALL
Race 9: No wager here, I just hope Dreaming Of Anna stays in so I can watch Meribel try to run her down. Best race they've run this year at TBD hands down.
Race 10: Big win bet on #1-Wise Answer, who can shock them with a good stalking trip by former TBD main-man Jose Lezcano; just needs to get him off the rail and to the outside of the leaders on the backstretch.
Wager: $10win- #1
Race 2: Of those who have racing experience, #5-Onashoestring showed some promise as a 2yo, but hasn't been seen since July; #9-Miss Keokuk ships in from Kentucky, attracts Centeno; #11-Red Pine comes out of a strong MSW race first-time out, is working well for Zwiesler/Farish. Of the FTS, #2-Amazing shows a good string of works at CRC, gets RoHo to ride. #7-Eventful Halo debuts for Lynne Scace/Arthur Appleton with some slow works showing, this could be the one, however, as Scace does this very well.
Wager: $2DD- 6,12/2,7,9,11 & $5win- 7
Race 3: There appears to be enough early pace signed up here to look for an off the pace winner. #2-Stash The Boots goes first off the claim and drops back from a mile to 6 1/2; moves up in class but veteran runner can sit off the speed and finish strong. #4-Psychic Star turns back in distance as well but never seems to get up in time; #5-Pawnsay goes second out for Ness and gets Centeno this time after a strong late rally last time.
Wager: $2exa- 2,5/1,2,4,5
Race 4: If #8-Doryphar is ready off the 4-month break, she's probably the best under Gomez; I'll play #5-Jeux De Danse, who is ultra-consistent and should be close to the front in what appears to be a paceless race.
Wager: $1tri- 5/1,3,4,8/1,3,4,8
Race 5: How good is #5-Mydesireisthewire, who won first out at CRC by 19 lengths? If #6-One Step Ahead can sit off the speed here she'll finish well.
Wager: $2exa- 6/2,5,8,10,13[AE]
Race 6: #6-Miss Goodnight is just better than these, if she takes to the racetrack that she's been working well over in the mornings.
Wager: $5exa- 6/2,5,10
Race 7: Dear Jose Ferrer, if you send #5-John's Song right to the lead and slow down the pace, you can steal this race. Regards, your pal Tom.
Wager: $1tri- 5/7,10/ALL
Race 8: "...horses don't always reproduce their seemingly superior form the first time over the Tampa main track." Just reminding myself.
Wager: $1exa- 7,9/ALL
Race 9: No wager here, I just hope Dreaming Of Anna stays in so I can watch Meribel try to run her down. Best race they've run this year at TBD hands down.
Race 10: Big win bet on #1-Wise Answer, who can shock them with a good stalking trip by former TBD main-man Jose Lezcano; just needs to get him off the rail and to the outside of the leaders on the backstretch.
Wager: $10win- #1
Recap for Thurs. Feb. 14th-
No love for me on Valentine's Day, got the first two legs home, then got beaten by the logical Albertrani shipper I failed to use. Thud.
Meet record: 27/122= 22% Bet: $1323.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$151.60
Meet record: 27/122= 22% Bet: $1323.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$151.60
Thursday, February 14, 2008
SELECTIONS for Feb. 14, 2008
I'll try to decipher the late pick 3, and maybe even show a profit.
Race 8: alwn1x 6F- #1-Rocklane, #5-Mr. Flatter, #6-Saucy's Got It, and #7-Gallant Lover are the speeds, and I don't think any one of them can hang on given a strong pace. That leaves #3-Stormin Yank, an impressive winner first time out; #4-Let It Rock, last two were solid closing efforts going 7 panels; and #11-Service Corps for Joan Scott, who drops back to a logical spot after two stakes tries.
Race 9: clm16000n3l 7F- #5-Angle Of Attack showed a new dimension coming off the pace last time; #6-Golden Trend came from downtown Clearwater to get up at 6F last time; #9-Divine Wonder should get a good stalking trip.
Race 10: Don't know if they're on the grass for this but I'll still use the same horses either way. #1-Silver Eagle made a sustained effort on dirt last time and will offer a price; #5-Ready's Clyde drops down from MSW and gets a switch to RoHo; #8-Affirmed Action gets blinkers, Centeno for Dale Bennett, probably turf only; #9-Rue D'argent is probably the best of these on grass.
Wager: $1pick3- 3,4,11/5,6,9/1,5,8,9
Race 8: alwn1x 6F- #1-Rocklane, #5-Mr. Flatter, #6-Saucy's Got It, and #7-Gallant Lover are the speeds, and I don't think any one of them can hang on given a strong pace. That leaves #3-Stormin Yank, an impressive winner first time out; #4-Let It Rock, last two were solid closing efforts going 7 panels; and #11-Service Corps for Joan Scott, who drops back to a logical spot after two stakes tries.
Race 9: clm16000n3l 7F- #5-Angle Of Attack showed a new dimension coming off the pace last time; #6-Golden Trend came from downtown Clearwater to get up at 6F last time; #9-Divine Wonder should get a good stalking trip.
Race 10: Don't know if they're on the grass for this but I'll still use the same horses either way. #1-Silver Eagle made a sustained effort on dirt last time and will offer a price; #5-Ready's Clyde drops down from MSW and gets a switch to RoHo; #8-Affirmed Action gets blinkers, Centeno for Dale Bennett, probably turf only; #9-Rue D'argent is probably the best of these on grass.
Wager: $1pick3- 3,4,11/5,6,9/1,5,8,9
Recap for Tues. Feb. 12th-
Got split for the exacta in the 3rd race; Starlight Serenade, a confirmed closer, was ridden up close to a hot pace (46:3) and went wide into the stretch; not a very heady ride-are jockeys allowed to wear a watch?
Meet record: 27/121= 22% Bet: $1287.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$115.60
Meet record: 27/121= 22% Bet: $1287.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$115.60
Tuesday, February 12, 2008
SELECTIONS for Tues., Feb. 12, 2008
Race 3: Let's box some good finishers going 7F- #4-John David, working well off the layoff; #5-Marigot Red; and #9-Roundtripper, the likely favorite with Pablo Morales aboard.
Wager: $2exabox- 4,5,9
Race 7: 2nd leg of the Tampa Turf Test, at 1 1/16m. #6-Starlight Serenade is the best closer here, should have an honest pace up front, and is coming off a good second against the talented British Blue.
Wager: $10win- 6 & $1tri- 6/7,8,9,12/7,8,9,12
Wager: $2exabox- 4,5,9
Race 7: 2nd leg of the Tampa Turf Test, at 1 1/16m. #6-Starlight Serenade is the best closer here, should have an honest pace up front, and is coming off a good second against the talented British Blue.
Wager: $10win- 6 & $1tri- 6/7,8,9,12/7,8,9,12
Recap for Sun. Feb. 10th-
Speed was not the way to go; 0 for 3 on the day. Time to end the losing streak.
Meet record: 27/118= 23% Bet: $1253.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: $-81.60
Meet record: 27/118= 23% Bet: $1253.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: $-81.60
Sunday, February 10, 2008
SELECTIONS for Sun., Feb. 10, 2008
Race 7: Taking a shot with the #7-Songandapsalm, going first time turf for low profile connections after two sprint preps; can he wire the field?
Wager: $2exa- 7/3,8,9
Race 8: #4-Matlacha first timer from Lori Smock, who is absolutely deadly with Mdclm FTS. Pedro Cotto rides and though the works are slow, the son of Texas Glitter should try to wire them.
Wager: $5win- 4
Race 10: Speedy #8-Go Go Diablo stretches back out to a mile off the sprint victory; Ness/Centeno at 40%.
Wager: $5exa- 8/2,5,6,7
Wager: $2exa- 7/3,8,9
Race 8: #4-Matlacha first timer from Lori Smock, who is absolutely deadly with Mdclm FTS. Pedro Cotto rides and though the works are slow, the son of Texas Glitter should try to wire them.
Wager: $5win- 4
Race 10: Speedy #8-Go Go Diablo stretches back out to a mile off the sprint victory; Ness/Centeno at 40%.
Wager: $5exa- 8/2,5,6,7
Recap for Sat. Feb. 9th-
2 out of 3 in the pick3, and then it got really bad. Learned once again that you can never automatically expect a horse to reproduce his previous form, superior though it may appear, the first time over the Tampa Bay Downs main track.
Meet record: 27/115= 23% Bet: $1222.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$50.60
Meet record: 27/115= 23% Bet: $1222.00 Won: $1171.40 Loss: -$50.60
Saturday, February 9, 2008
SELECTIONS for Sat., Feb. 9, 2008
Race 2: #10-Luna Del Gato lays over this field and I would love to get the 3-1 m/l odds; NOT!
Race 3: #9-Dennis's Dream looks for his 4th straight win this meet on the reclaim by Thomas; I'll hedge with #7-Jule's Jewel, who could sit a good stalking trip here behind the speeds (#3,#5).
Race 4: #5-Irish Becky had a good first race over the track, drops to n2l condition; Morales stays. #8-Buck Up A Storm won first out against overmatched Mdclm foes, has been working well all winter for Ritchey.
Wager: $5pick3- 10/7,9/5,8
Race 5: #10-Si Si Mon Amie has been training well for this spot, may get a bit of a price here.
Wager: $10win- 10 & $1tri- 10/4,6,8,9/4,6,8,9
Races 6-11: Taking a swing at the pick 6, using #1-Sacrifice Bunt as a single in the 6th, and #3-Paradise Dancer as a single in the 10th.
$2pick 6- 1/3,10/3,9/1,6,7/3/3,5,6
Race 3: #9-Dennis's Dream looks for his 4th straight win this meet on the reclaim by Thomas; I'll hedge with #7-Jule's Jewel, who could sit a good stalking trip here behind the speeds (#3,#5).
Race 4: #5-Irish Becky had a good first race over the track, drops to n2l condition; Morales stays. #8-Buck Up A Storm won first out against overmatched Mdclm foes, has been working well all winter for Ritchey.
Wager: $5pick3- 10/7,9/5,8
Race 5: #10-Si Si Mon Amie has been training well for this spot, may get a bit of a price here.
Wager: $10win- 10 & $1tri- 10/4,6,8,9/4,6,8,9
Races 6-11: Taking a swing at the pick 6, using #1-Sacrifice Bunt as a single in the 6th, and #3-Paradise Dancer as a single in the 10th.
$2pick 6- 1/3,10/3,9/1,6,7/3/3,5,6
Recap for Fri. Feb. 8th-
No luck with the pick 3. Saturday's card features the $75,000 Pelican Stakes at 7F for 4yo & up, plus three good turf races and a promising MSW for 3yos.
Meet record: 27/111= 24% Bet: $1108.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $63.40
Meet record: 27/111= 24% Bet: $1108.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $63.40
Friday, February 8, 2008
SELECTIONS for Fri., Feb. 8, 2008
Pick 3 Races 3-5:
The key will be to beat the heavily favored #12 with Centeno aboard in the 3rd race. Let's try:
Wager: $1pick3- 2,10/3,4,6,8/1,2
The key will be to beat the heavily favored #12 with Centeno aboard in the 3rd race. Let's try:
Wager: $1pick3- 2,10/3,4,6,8/1,2
Recap for Thurs. Feb. 7th-
Ready Ruler did wire the field but I couldn't hook up the exacta; Cloth Of Gold, a closer, had no chance in the paceless turf race.
Meet record: 27/110= 25% Bet: $1092.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $79.40
Meet record: 27/110= 25% Bet: $1092.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $79.40
Thursday, February 7, 2008
SELECTIONS- Thurs., Feb. 7, 2008
Race 3: The question is why does #3-Ready Ruler drop from a 25k claimer to the bottom, a 5kn2y claimer? Is he spent, or is he ready to wire the field while scaring off potential buyers? I'll take the latter view, but use him with a few others.
Wager: $2exabox- 3,7,10
Race 5: Wide open Clm50000n2l on the firm turf; I'll hope that Tim Ritchey's #7-Cloth Of Gold is ready to fire his best shot; Velez sticks.
Wager: $1tri- 7/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4
Wager: $2exabox- 3,7,10
Race 5: Wide open Clm50000n2l on the firm turf; I'll hope that Tim Ritchey's #7-Cloth Of Gold is ready to fire his best shot; Velez sticks.
Wager: $1tri- 7/1,2,3,4/1,2,3,4
Recap for Tues. Feb. 5th-
Caught the double ($40) at a decent price, as Keystone Point once again proved to be a money burning also-ran. Had a thrill until the 1/8th pole as the #2 (50-1) looked like a winner, but he couldn't hold the winner safe; double will-pay for that combo was $311.....ouch. La Corredora was best in the 5th, but missed a first-time turfer underneath.
Meet record: 27/108= 25% Bet: $1068.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $103.40
Meet record: 27/108= 25% Bet: $1068.00 Won: $1171.40 Profit: $103.40
Tuesday, February 5, 2008
SELECTIONS for Tues., Feb. 5, 2008
Race 1: #2-Trade Me has beaten many of these, is the main speed again and Cotto should put him right out on the engine.
Race 2: #7-Keystone Point looks like he has finally found a group he can take, but I still don't trust him fully. Will use several others in early daily doubles.
Wager: $5double- 2/2,5,7,8
Race 5: Maiden turfer for 3yo fillies. Will side with racing experience and go with #7-La Corredora, second time out for Proctor/Velez. Good interim works.
Wager: $1tri- 7/1,4,5,10/1,4,5,10
Race 2: #7-Keystone Point looks like he has finally found a group he can take, but I still don't trust him fully. Will use several others in early daily doubles.
Wager: $5double- 2/2,5,7,8
Race 5: Maiden turfer for 3yo fillies. Will side with racing experience and go with #7-La Corredora, second time out for Proctor/Velez. Good interim works.
Wager: $1tri- 7/1,4,5,10/1,4,5,10
Recap for Fri. Feb. 1st-
Inhonorofjohnnie was the lone speed, strolled a leisurely 3/4s in 1:15, and stole the race wire to wire. Gotta pay attention to those situations, now that the turf has firmed up again.
Meet record: 26/107= 24% Bet: $1042.00 Won: $1071.40 Profit: $29.40
Meet record: 26/107= 24% Bet: $1042.00 Won: $1071.40 Profit: $29.40
Friday, February 1, 2008
SELECTIONS for Fri., Feb. 1, 2008
Race 8: Here's a long-winded analysis I did for another handicapping forum (http://www.upinclass.com)-
1)Ten Bolts/6-1/Rice/Centeno/Performance envelope[83-92]-Improving sort just passed first condition. Well-bred mare had false starts to career at 2 and 3, seems to be on track now. Likes to sit a bit off the pace, get first jump on the true closers. Centeno is the best turf rider on the grounds, with newcomer Velez a close second. Inside post helps running style. Contender.
2)Mystic Soul/5-2/Ward/Rocco/Performance envelope[73-94]- Listed stakes winner, grade 2&3 placed, all in Cali for Mullins. Bet Mott/Vegso were pissed when she got claimed first-out...whoops. Horse shows up at GP off six month layoff, one modest work showing, runs like a "broken" horse. No interim works; I'd be surprised if she doesn't scratch. Non-contender.
3)Lady Renaissance/7-2/Clement/Morales/Performance envelope[84-92]- Deep closer just missed at this level last time, was 3 clear of the rest. Clement ships here to find soft spots, always with winning intentions. Morales is riding with great confidence lately. Daughter of Smart Strike seems to have a bit of "hang" in her, as I would have expected her to pass this condition by now. Still, a contender.
4)Carocita/9-2/Sheppard/Homeister, Jr./Performance envelope[82-90]- Strong closer returned from a year layoff in Dec. at Calder, finishing behind the above horse in a race where both had traffic problems in the lane. Had a troubled trip again next out when just missing, then faced better at GP, giving a similar performance in a slow early/fast late mile race. George Strawbridge doesn't need the purse money, so I think that Sheppard is sending her here for a confidence-building win that can propel her forward. His choice of rider, however, is a concern. RoHo doesn't ride nearly as well on the grass, I've watched her(21% vs. 10%). Marginal Contender.
5)The Lady Waffles/10-1/Feliciano/Gonzalez/Performance envelope[81-88]- mare is a terrific dirt miler, but they've kept her on the lawn this season. Mid-pack type does have speed, however, and can set/stalk the pace in slower races. ITM chances at this level, but this is a strong group. Marginal-contender.
6)Rain Shower/8-1/Oliver/Velez/Performance envelope[80-89]- Strong finisher has been knocking around this level for a while, seems to be a "rallied too late" type. Velez on will help, but don't foresee a victory against this bunch. Marginal Contender.
7)Survicat/20-1/Bates/Panici/Performance envelope[69-86]- Almost seems like Bates is running her over her head on purpose, to darken the form, but the good efforts that follow aren't winning ones. Non-contender.
8)Green Door/10-1/Maker/Montalvo/Performance envelope[unknown]- Lightly-raced daughter of Danzig has polytrack form, but grass is a ? Bred to handle it, Maker has been spot on in her three starts here, but I'm taking a stand against off the long layoff, short PMM worktab. Non-contender.
9)Gilded Arrow/12-1/Offutt/Butler/Performance envelope[76-86]- Pace casualty will be overmatched against these, needs to drop to open claimers for a win. Non-contender.
10)Inhonorofjohnnie/15-1/McQuade/Garcia/Performance envelope[83-88]- Veteran mare will be the speed of the race, may be able to take them a long way with little other speed signed up for this. Lone entrant in for a tag has been knocking heads with the best at Suffolk Downs, tends to hold on for a piece when at her best. Marginal contender.
Wager: $2tri- 3/1,4,6,10/1,4,6,10
1)Ten Bolts/6-1/Rice/Centeno/Performance envelope[83-92]-Improving sort just passed first condition. Well-bred mare had false starts to career at 2 and 3, seems to be on track now. Likes to sit a bit off the pace, get first jump on the true closers. Centeno is the best turf rider on the grounds, with newcomer Velez a close second. Inside post helps running style. Contender.
2)Mystic Soul/5-2/Ward/Rocco/Performance envelope[73-94]- Listed stakes winner, grade 2&3 placed, all in Cali for Mullins. Bet Mott/Vegso were pissed when she got claimed first-out...whoops. Horse shows up at GP off six month layoff, one modest work showing, runs like a "broken" horse. No interim works; I'd be surprised if she doesn't scratch. Non-contender.
3)Lady Renaissance/7-2/Clement/Morales/Performance envelope[84-92]- Deep closer just missed at this level last time, was 3 clear of the rest. Clement ships here to find soft spots, always with winning intentions. Morales is riding with great confidence lately. Daughter of Smart Strike seems to have a bit of "hang" in her, as I would have expected her to pass this condition by now. Still, a contender.
4)Carocita/9-2/Sheppard/Homeister, Jr./Performance envelope[82-90]- Strong closer returned from a year layoff in Dec. at Calder, finishing behind the above horse in a race where both had traffic problems in the lane. Had a troubled trip again next out when just missing, then faced better at GP, giving a similar performance in a slow early/fast late mile race. George Strawbridge doesn't need the purse money, so I think that Sheppard is sending her here for a confidence-building win that can propel her forward. His choice of rider, however, is a concern. RoHo doesn't ride nearly as well on the grass, I've watched her(21% vs. 10%). Marginal Contender.
5)The Lady Waffles/10-1/Feliciano/Gonzalez/Performance envelope[81-88]- mare is a terrific dirt miler, but they've kept her on the lawn this season. Mid-pack type does have speed, however, and can set/stalk the pace in slower races. ITM chances at this level, but this is a strong group. Marginal-contender.
6)Rain Shower/8-1/Oliver/Velez/Performance envelope[80-89]- Strong finisher has been knocking around this level for a while, seems to be a "rallied too late" type. Velez on will help, but don't foresee a victory against this bunch. Marginal Contender.
7)Survicat/20-1/Bates/Panici/Performance envelope[69-86]- Almost seems like Bates is running her over her head on purpose, to darken the form, but the good efforts that follow aren't winning ones. Non-contender.
8)Green Door/10-1/Maker/Montalvo/Performance envelope[unknown]- Lightly-raced daughter of Danzig has polytrack form, but grass is a ? Bred to handle it, Maker has been spot on in her three starts here, but I'm taking a stand against off the long layoff, short PMM worktab. Non-contender.
9)Gilded Arrow/12-1/Offutt/Butler/Performance envelope[76-86]- Pace casualty will be overmatched against these, needs to drop to open claimers for a win. Non-contender.
10)Inhonorofjohnnie/15-1/McQuade/Garcia/Performance envelope[83-88]- Veteran mare will be the speed of the race, may be able to take them a long way with little other speed signed up for this. Lone entrant in for a tag has been knocking heads with the best at Suffolk Downs, tends to hold on for a piece when at her best. Marginal contender.
Wager: $2tri- 3/1,4,6,10/1,4,6,10
Recap for Thurs. Jan. 31st-
Had the triple in the 7th for small potatoes, and got beat in the 5th by the Roy Lerman horse (35-1) I liked last time as a first time starter. His horses always improve second time out so it irks me that I dismissed him, even off that poor first effort.
Meet record: 26/106= 25% Bet: $1018.00 Won: $1071.40 Profit: $53.40
Meet record: 26/106= 25% Bet: $1018.00 Won: $1071.40 Profit: $53.40
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