Working well...

  • **OUTSTANDING WORKOUTS IN CAPS**
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  • Banker's High Yield
  • Big Truck
  • Capt. Bullet Bob
  • Chic Cat
  • Closeout
  • Conchacer
  • CORREDOR DELA ISLA
  • Creative Design
  • Doctor Carina
  • Double Or Nothing
  • Eight Faces
  • El Poppie
  • FINE FLYER
  • Flurtini
  • Forestry Type
  • Grasmere Park
  • IRON ID
  • Lady Elite
  • Lady Zieg
  • LEMONETTE
  • MUSKET MAN
  • NICKS
  • Pari
  • Perfect Arrival
  • R Betty Graybull
  • REALGOODLOOKIN
  • ROYAL MALIBU
  • Sassy Tale
  • SATANS QUICK CHICK
  • SCHOOLYARD DREAMS
  • Sea Current
  • SNEAKIN THE GOLD
  • STATE TREASURE
  • Tight Precision
  • Tough Heart
  • Triptane
  • Wiseacre

Monday, December 28, 2009

Results for Sat., Dec. 26th-

My Lady A.P. looked to be running a winning race, until Mallory Square blew by and drew off; that could be a nice little filly. She was running back off nine days rest from a 2nd at CRC. Rickyontherun didn't. Doohan showed speed and stopped. Joanie's Catch got outfinished by a neck. El Commodore dueled and quit. Mr. Green ran an even third.

Meet record: 3/21= 14% Bet: $187.00 Won: $78.40 Loss: -$108.60

Saturday, December 26, 2009

Selections for Sat., Dec. 26, 2009

Race 3: #7- My Lady A.P. (4-1) seemed to put it all together last out, a key race; Centeno takes the call. #9- Narrate (8-1) is a FTS for Mark Casse, daughter of Medaglia D'oro has been training well at Ocala, may want more ground than this.

$3exa- 7,9/4,6,7,9

Race 4: #4- Rickyontherun (7-2) is a strong finisher, is the choice over #8- Celtic New Year, who is working very well locally but may need this first race since July.

$5win- 4

Race 5: #9- Doohan (10-1) stretches out off of two sprints and goes to the lawn; Proctor is off to a strong start this meet.

$5win/plc- 9

Race 6: Sandpiper Stakes 6F- #8- Joanie's Catch (4-1) has had a steady diet of stakes races, including black type in a GIII last out; turns back to a sprint, should be flying late.

$5win/plc- 8

Race 8: #5- El Commodore (6-1) goes first out for Greg Griffith; he appears to have figured this guy out, the work on 12/21 was phenomenal; blinkers-on might get 'er done.

$5win- 5

Race 10: Inaugural Stakes 6F- #9- Mr. Green (3-1) hasn't missed the triple in 7 career starts; archrival Hear Ye Hear Ye breaks from the extreme outside, can't seem to put two consecutive good ones together.

$5win/plc- 9

Results for Wed., Dec. 23rd-

One for three, with a scratch. Got a place result from Great Belief in the seventh; he was run down easily by Blushing Bear, who I labeled a plodder; my mistake, he ran very well, and put up a good time with honest fractions. By Rahy out of a Gone West mare, this gelding has every chance to become a useful runner. Band Of Thunder dueled to mid-stretch and tired in the eighth. Nina Springs was the one to fear in the ninth, getting up in time under Centeno to beat favored Giddyup Gadfly. Those two made up a chalky $19.00 exacta, but with 71-1 Arrestedforpassion in third, triple paid $342.40.

Meet record: 2/15= 13% Bet: $129.00 Won: $71.40 Loss: -$57.60

Tuesday, December 22, 2009

Selections for Wed., Dec. 23, 2009

Race 6: If the #1- Not Up For Love is the 5-2 m/l favorite here, then you know this is an ugly and chaotic race. The speed fig guys will probably make the #8- Rum Customer the actual post time fave. Let's play the #6- Tre Cool (10-1) who can finish well and had three good two-turn efforts here last meet.

$5win/plc- 6

Race 7: #1- Ambergris Caye is a full brother to Perfect Drift; doubt they'll try to win the debut here with GP opening soon. #2- Wotan used to run for Shug, now goes out for Clement/Centeno, so little value there. If Jose Velez, Jr. had a decent start this meet I'd give #3- Albin a look, but Velez is still cold. #4- Blushing Bear looks like one of those hopeless late-running plodders who never get there in time. Corny V. is listed to ride #5- Forgive Me for Angel Penna, Jr., but I've got too many doubts off the 19 month layoff. That all leaves me with #8- Great Belief (9-2) for Graham Motion/Jeremy Rose. Horse has been in steady training at Fair Hill since September and Motion can have them ready on works alone.

$5win/plc- 8

Race 8: #2- Band Of Thunder (5-2) has the best early speed here, has been training locally for a month for return.

$4exa- 2/3,5

Race 9: #4- Giddyup Gadfly (2-1) is the class, #5- S S Royal Endeavor (6-1) is the speed, and #8- Nina Springs (7-2) is the one to fear from Cibelli/Centeno.

$2tri- 4/5,8/5,6,8,10,11

Friday, December 18, 2009

Results for Thurs., Dec. 17th-

Beachcomber, last of ten, never lifted a hoof. Chrome Cruiser (4.00-1) ran well but was outfinished by the favorite, under RoHo, who swept the last three races and had four on the day. Trainer Anthony Pecoraro notched two more wins, he's en fuego.

Meet record: 1/12= 8% Bet: $99.00 Won: $59.40 Loss: -$39.60

Thursday, December 17, 2009

Selections for Thurs., Dec. 17, 2009

Race 6: There's quite a bit of speed entered here to set up a good late run, so with #9- Schopenhauer (5-2) scratched, let's take a flyer on #7- Beachcomber, with Dean Butler aboard.

$1tri- 7/4,6,8/4,6,8,10,11 -and- $1pk3- 6,7/7,10/3,4,9

Race 8: Real headscratcher, so we'll zig while they zag, hopefully. #9- Chrome Cruiser (9-2) has been running evenly in short sprints over the AW at Woodbine, rallying nicely last time out. Well-bred for the grass, with a competent trainer, and we get turf-challenged Willie Martinez aboard to keep the price up.

$1tri- 9/3,4,7/1,3,4,7,10

Results for Wed., Dec. 16th-

0 fer 2 on the day, with two scratched bets. Should have ignored the AEs in the eighth and sent the wager in anyways, as the tri with a 4-5 over a 14-1 and 21-1 paid $150 for a buck...ouch.

There were two $100+ bombs on the day...and Daniel Centeno did not win a turf race- strange day indeed.


Meet record: 1/9= 11% Bet: $63.00 Won: $59.40 Loss: -$3.60

Tuesday, December 15, 2009

Barn Notes- DRF

Selections for Wed., Dec. 16, 2009-

Race 5- (8.5F Turf) The Graham Motion-trained #8- Apple Charlotte should be an even money favorite here, after a tough-trip big-late-close 2nd at CD in her first career start. Let's try to beat her with #9- Wicked Charm (5-1), from Matz/Centeno, a first time starter who is a half-sister to English Channel; he did okay on the grass :). Matz usually gives them a race but this daughter of Ghostzapper could be a good one.

$1tri- 9/4,6,8/2,4,6,8,10

Race 6- (7F)

$1pk3- 3,12/5,7,10/6

Race 7- (7F) #5- Misfit Manny (6-1) takes another class drop, goes second off the layoff; good closing kick can take this.

$2exa- 5/7,10 & 7,10/5

Race 8- (8.5F Turf) #6- Omega Cat (2-1) appears to tower over these rivals and a clean trip should result in a victory. If any of the also-eligibles gets in, complexion of the race changes- no bet.

$1tri- 6/3,4,7/3,4,7,8,9

Saturday, December 12, 2009

Results for Sat., Dec. 12th-

Could only connect with Da Plane in the fifth, who stole the race on the front end under a heady ride from Cotto. Amazing that the exacta paid almost sixty bucks.

Mohegan Sky was far back early and never entered contention in the feature race; expected more than that from a Joan Scott trainee.

As it turned out, Rock Candy was using today's race strictly as a prep; she was far back for a half and was only turned loose in the stretch, closing fast for third. She'll be tight next time in the Minaret Stakes (6F), and should be at her best for the Manatee (7F) and Wayward Lass (8.5F).

Congratulations to trainer Anthony Pecoraro. He won the first three races on the card! "Mr. Slacker" could then only manage a fourth place finish in the sixth race.


Meet record: 1/7= 14% Bet: $52.00 Won: $59.40 Profit: $7.40

Selections for Sat., Dec. 12, 2009-

Race 2: #5- El Supremo (5-1) has had a six-week break, likes the track, runs a solid race every time out. Stalking style will work well here, can handle the class jump. Owner Carlesimo points for this meet.

$2exa- 5/1,9 & 1,9/5

Race 4: Lots of early speed in this 6F sprint, let's try to run them down with #7- Nice Roundup (10-1).

$2win/plc- 7

Race 5: #2- Da Plane (3-1), "working well." Hard to take Cotto on a short-priced turf horse, but this son of Concorde's Tune should relish the surface switch. #6- Turwada should like this as well. Betting against #9- Ryvit, should take a lot of money off NY running lines, looks like a plodder. Also against #10- Center Divider (clever name- Giant's Causeway x Meridiana), Clement/Centeno FTS, but will use defensively.

$2exa- 2/6,10 & 6,10/2

Race 7: #6- Doctor Cal (8-1) ran a good one in his CRC return, takes another step forward here.

$1tri- 6/3,5,9/1,3,5,9,10

Race 8: #9- Grand Times is certainly fast, but let's try to beat him at a short price with #7- Good Lord (8-1), another son of Greatness who goes out for Kaelin/Centeno. Thinking that if #5- V Sat were really the goods for Zito, he'd scratch and run him in the Inaugural Stakes in two weeks.

$5win- 7

Race 9: Would like to have seen a better turf jock on #8- Mohegan Sky (4-1), but this mare is just better than these, and now under the care of Joan Scott.

$10win- 8

Race 10: Tough prep race for the upcoming Minaret Stakes (6F), with a lot of middle-distance turnbacks. If #6- Rock Candy (4-1), "working well", has progressed since earlier this year, she'll take a lot of beating here; loves the track and is reunited with jockey Carlos Montalvo, who rode her with confidence last meet.

$5win- 6

Friday, December 11, 2009

Jockeys & Trainers

Jockeys good with speed horses: Ronnie Allen, Jr., Pedro Cotto, Jr., J.J. Garcia, Andrew Ramgeet.

Jockeys good with turf horses: Daniel Centeno, Pablo Morales, Rosemary Homeister, Dean Butler.

Jockeys you can usually get value on: Carlos Montalvo, Huber Villa-Gomez, Andrew Ramgeet, Dean Butler.

Newcomers to watch: Inez Karlsson, Abel Lezcano.


Best trainers other than Jamie Ness, and the GP shippers (Matz, Zito, Pletcher, Clement): Dale Bennett, Gregory Griffith, Forrest Kaelin, Barbara McBride, Thomas Proctor, Derek Ryan, JOAN SCOTT, Michael Zweisler.

Trainers who excel on the turf: Gregory Griffith, Thomas Proctor, Joan Scott, Bernie Rhone.

Wednesday, January 28, 2009

Results for Tues., Jan. 27th-

Caravel got put up on a DQ, but I didn't have the 2nd place finisher in the right spot. Nina's Gift topped a small exacta. Arranger broke slowly, hustled forward, then flattened out; you can bet him back, but the price is probably gone. No one was catching the winner anyways, an AE horse that I never even looked at; can't make mistakes like that.

Meet record: 18/93= 19% Bet: $950.80 Won: $582.20 Loss: -$368.60

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

SELECTIONS- Tues., Jan. 27, 2009

Race 5: #4- Caravel (2-1) may end up as the 2nd or even third choice here, Montalvo re-rides, giving up the mount on #2- Turtle Bay (5-2) , who should be the favorite but has the ice-cold Velez in the irons.

$1tri- 4/2,5,6/2,5,6,9,10

Race 6: Not sure what happened to #6- Jade's Pleasure (2-1) last time, but I have to bet against her off that effort, despite the class drop. #3- Nina's Gift (5-2) seems to like this distance, switches to Montalvo, trainer is sending out fit horses.

$4exa- 3/6,8,9

Race 7: Expect a two horse battle here between #7- Arranger (6-1), who had an outstanding 5F work on the 14th, and #9- Conchacer (3-1), an $85K son of Congaree for Dale Bennett/Ramgeet/Savoy Stables. I'll take Arranger and hope for anything near the m/l.

$10win- 7

Results from last Tues., Jan. 20th-

Zero for three on the day; took the last week off to try to shake out of the slump. May have the turf figured out a bit better after reviewing race results, and checking my wagering patterns. Nowhere to go but up.

Meet Record: 17/90= 19% Bet: $916.80 Won: $553.80 Loss: -$363.00

Tuesday, January 20, 2009

SELECTIONS- Tues., Jan. 20, 2009

Race 6: #7- Little Dovefeather(5-2) drops back in for a tag after facing stakes-quality foes last out; loves it here, gets a new pilot in RoHo as the slumping Velez loses yet another prime mount, not sure what's up with him, though he picks up the mount on #5-Galaxy Tax(4-1).

$1tri- 7/1,5,8/1,4,5,6,8

Race 7: #4- Jewel's N Roses(6-1) is bred to be a sprinter but has the most upside of these; #5- Salish(5-2) is a logical contender after a close-up second at this level last time, gets Centeno which will suppress the price further. #1- Heartaches(7-2) goes first off the claim on the stretchout, should handle the added ground.

Race 8: Looks like a battle between #3- Too Many Sins(2-1), #6- Groovy Kid(3-1), and the late running #1- Jet Prop(6-1).

$1pick3- 7,8/1,4,5/1,3,6 (races 6-8)

Race 9: #5- Mill Point(10-1) had a rough trip, flew home. #6- Coffee Cake(5-2) goes for Matz/Centeno in first start since October, on paper should crush these. #9- Ocean Prospect(8-1) made a promising debut, now tries turf with foggy pedigree, Hyatt knows how to do this.

$4exabox- 1,6,9

Results for Sat., Jan. 17th-

Got the first two legs home, but inexplicably left the logical #2 off the third segment. Need to right the ship soon.

Meet record: 17/87= 20% Bet: $865.80 Won: $553.80 Loss: -$312.00

Saturday, January 17, 2009

SELECTIONS- Sat., Jan. 17, 2009

Race 7: #7- Curious Lady (6-1) had a wide trip against similar last out, Gonzalez goes to the rail horse.

Race 8 {Pasco Stakes $75K 7F 3yo}: #4- General Quarters (5-2) and #6- Miles And Miles (5-1) were second and third, respectively, in the Inaugural Stakes three weeks ago; only new threat appears to be #7- Musket Man (2-1), undefeated in two starts and training up a storm locally.

Race 9: Honest pace here for sure, if they all go postward. #6- Lydia's Love (5-2) switches to the ice-cold Ida Paquette barn, but that may be in name only as the last two works were still at Calder. #10- Dixie Queen (12-1) stopped badly last out, but needed the race and a return to the Jersey form could put her right there. #4- R Vicarious Girl (3-1) should be the favorite here, loves the course and is in career form. #1- Cut For Luck (4-1) will likely gun from the rail, see who else goes with her; Nunez sees fit to give up a day at GP for the mount.

$1pick3- 1,4,7/4,6,7/1,4,6,10

Results for Fri., Jan. 16th-

Nick's Girl had a good trip but never threatened the 47-1 winner. Starlight Serenade got into trouble down inside on the backstretch, take a look next time with a rider switch. Riversrunrylee had to work way too hard early with Fierce Wind close behind, and was finished on the far turn.

Meet record: 17/86= 20% Bet: $829.80 Won: $553.80 Loss: -$276.00

Friday, January 16, 2009

SELECTIONS- Fri., Jan. 16, 2009

Race 4- #2- Nick's Girl (7-2) drops from open 25clm to this n2l spot, seems to have the solid early and late pace that the rest of these don't. The AEs worry me a bit, so let's hope they're all out.

$1tri- 2/4,8,10/4,7,8,9,10

Race 6- #7- Starlight Serenade (6-1) comes off a long layoff for Lynne Scace, not sure he's gonna be cranked for this one, but if he is he's just better than these.

$4exa- 7/5,6,8

Race 9- Overnight handicap at 8.5F will test the lone speed theory. #1- Riversrunrylee (9-2) only knows one way to roll, vote for Pedro!

$4exa- 1/3,6,7

In the winner's circle...

In the winner's circle...
@ Belmont Park

Student Of The Horse

Student Of The Horse
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